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Thunder computer system chooses
Jalen Williams Over 15.5 points (-120 )
Projection: 17.4 points
This is our computer's top-rated Oklahoma City Thunder gamer prop for tonight, clocking in with a 17.9% EV edge.
Jalen Williams has actually hit 16+ points in 5 of his last 8 overall, and his ability to get to the foul line can help him here.
"This year, opposing beginning PFs have tried 4.1 complimentary throws per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line."
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Chet Holmgren Over 14.5 points (-130 )
Projection: 15.4 points
Chet Holmgren has reached the 15-point plateau in 6 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20 general. He's cleared this line in 5 of his last 6 on the roadway, consisting of a 15-piece vs. the Lakers last night.
The system sees Holmgren hitting the Over once again tonight, with projections at an 11.4% EV edge.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 3.5 rebounds (-150 )
Projection: 4.3 rebounds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is understood more for his scoring than his rebounding, but our computer sees SGA drawing in at least 4 boards tonight, making this a three-star play.
Gilgeous-Alexander handles a Los Angeles Clippers defense that's allowed the sixth-most rebounds to opposing point player this season.
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Clippers computer selects
Derrick Jones Jr. Over 7.5 points(-112 )
Projection: 9.3 points
Our computer system's top choice for tonight with a 22.6% EV edge is Derrick Jones Jr. Over 7.5 points. His scoring projection is 9.3 points, well above his posted line, due to his predicted foul shot total.
"This year when [the Clippers] are at home, the opposing group's beginning PFs have tried 4.9 nasty shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Thunder, quickly managing to get to the nasty line."
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Kris Dunn Over 5.5 points (-111 )
Projection: 7.0 points
Our system sees Kris Dunn clearing an extremely low scoring bar tonight, and doing so rather quickly. There's a 21% EV edge associated with this prop.
The Clippers are the sixth-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games, and opportunities must be there vs. a traveling Thunder team that just played last night.
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Kawhi Leonard Under 27.5 points (-120 )
Projection: 25.5 points
Kawhi Leonard's production is reducing a little as the season endures. He's fallen below 27.5 points in six of his last 10 total, and our computer system believes he'll come up two full points shy tonight, making this a four-star wager.
"Opposing team's starting SFs have balanced 25.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a hard matchup. The LA Clippers have actually played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year."
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How to enjoy Thunder vs Clippers this evening
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